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In this paper, we consider an alternative perspective to China's exchange rate policy. We study a semi-open economy where the private sector has no access to international capital markets but the central bank has full access. Moreover, we assume limited financial development generating a large...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011083998
The New Open Economy Macroeconomics has allowed economists to tackle classical problems with new tools, while also generating new ideas and questions. In their attempts to make the new models capture empirical regularities, researchers have entertained a variety of assumptions about the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005656335
In the new situation with flexible exchange rates, monetary policy in Europe will have to rely more on indicators than previously under fixed rates. One of the potential indicators, the forward interest rate curve, can be used to indicate market expectations of the time-paths of future short...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005791726
As the European Community (EC) unifies its financial markets and fixes its exchange rates, the EFTA countries are liberalizing capital movements to the same extent. The EFTA countries thus face a decision on financial markets and exchange rate policy: should they essentially join the European...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005504364
Large devaluations are generally associated with large declines in real exchange rates. We develop a model which embodies two complementary forces that account for the large declines in the real exchange rate that occur in the aftermath of large devaluations. The first force is sticky...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005504694
, then long-run risk generates insufficient exchange rate volatility. A longrun risk model with recursive-preferences in … which all agents trade in complete global financial markets can generate realistic exchange rate volatility; however, I show … the remaining households lead hand-to-mouth lives, generates realistic exchange rate and external balance volatility …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011084256
We investigate the predictive information content in foreign exchange volatility risk premia for exchange rate returns …. The volatility risk premium is the difference between realized volatility and a model-free measure of expected volatility … that is derived from currency options, and reflects the cost of insurance against volatility ‡fluctuations in the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011084715
remarkably little effect on the volatility of exchange rates, the in-sample explanatory power of macro fundamentals and the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10004991548
This Paper reviews the controversy over China’s exchange rate regime. Placing the issue in the context of the literature on exit strategies, it argues that now is the best time for China to exit from its peg. Moving to a managed float would be in the country’s own interest; it would help the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005067647
This Paper focuses on the pass-through of exchange rate changes into the prices of imports made by euro area countries originating outside the area. Using data on import unit values for 13 different product categories for each country, we estimate industry-specific rates of pass-through across...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005067653