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commensurate with their risk aversion; more risk-averse individuals pick lower-volatility stocks. The investors' portfolio …The preferred risk habitat hypothesis, introduced here, is that individual investors select stocks with volatilities … consistent with the predictions of the hypothesis: the portfolios contain highly similar stocks in terms of volatility, when …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005067451
both create and share the risk associated with exchange rate volatility. In such circumstances, monetary policy can be used … of noise traders alters the composition of the market and generates excess exchange rate volatility, since noise traders … to lower exchange rate volatility without altering macroeconomic fundamentals. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005666966
We use the method of indirect inference, using the bootstrap, to test the Smets and Wouters model of the EU against a VAR auxiliary equation describing their data; the test is based on the Wald statistic. We find that their model generates excessive variance compared with the data. But their...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005791817
A common view in the literature is that the effect of energy price shocks on macroeconomic aggregates is asymmetric in energy price increases and decreases. We show that widely used asymmetric vector autoregressive models of the transmission of energy price shocks are misspecified, resulting in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005000442
international finance is explaining these cross-regime differences in exchange rate volatility. The evidence suggests that a switch …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005788957
This paper reexamines U.S. business cycle volatility since 1867. We employ dynamic factor analysis as an alternative to … reconstructed national accounts. We find a remarkable volatility increase across World War I, which is reversed after World War II …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005504432
We use portfolio theory to quantify the efficiency of state-level sectoral patterns of production in the United States … volatility of state output growth, rather than in its average. The realized industry shares of output also converge faster to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005504526
inflation volatility, we unwind one of Sargent's simplifications and allow the monetary authority to react to some of the shocks … were also persuaded to stop using changes in inflation to offset shocks. Inflation and inflation volatility therefore …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005504556
volatility. This paper focuses on extreme correlation, that is to say the correlation between returns in either the negative or … positive tail of the multivariate distribution. Using ‘extreme value theory’ to model the multivariate distribution tails, we … not for the positive tail. We also find that correlation is not related to market volatility per se but to the market …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005504611
? Can stock return predictability be explained by changes in stock market volatility? How does the mean return per unit risk … predictor of both the mean and volatility of excess stock market returns. We characterize the risk-return tradeoff as the … change over time? This chapter reviews what is known about the time-series evolution of the risk-return tradeoff for stock …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005498159