Showing 1 - 10 of 19
Volatility models have been playing an important role in economics and finance. Using a multivariate generalized spectral approach, we propose a new class of generally applicable omnibus tests for univariate and multivariate volatility models. Both GARCH models and stochastic volatility models...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005342373
This paper investigates how conditional quantiles of a given distribution relate to each other. Given two conditional quantiles estimated nonparametrically, we investigate their relation by linking them through a parametric transformation. Asymptotic normality of the associated parameter vector...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005699609
We develop a sequence of tests for specifying the cointegrating rank of, possibly fractional, multiple time series. Memory parameters of observables are treated as unknown, as are those of possible cointegrating errors. The individual test statistics have standard null asymptotics, and are...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010746056
. The evidence suggests the possibility of nonlinearity in the U.S. while it excludes the class of nonlinearity that can … generate endogenous fluctuation or chaos …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005130249
The possibility of confusing long memory behavior with structural changes need to specify what kind of long memory behavior is concerned in literature and applications. One attraction of long memory models is that they imply different long run predictions and effects of shocks to conventional...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005063626
The present complexity approach is based on two assumptions: A1: measurability of deviations of outcomes with respect to reference values; A2 : extension of A1 to multi-set analysis. Complexity is then defined in terms of multi-set deviation compared to single-set ones; an interpretation is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005181604
, cycles and chaos. More importantly we find that there is an interesting interaction between the relative risk aversion coeï … into cycles and chaos, the higher the degree of openness of the economy is. Although the perils of Taylor rules are evident …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005699586
’ beliefs, in order to explore non-linearities and possible chaotic behaviour. The theoretical model contains an intrinsic non-linearity … that gives rise to a jerk differential equation, which is in principle capable of generating chaos. The model is …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009020093
In order to develop statistical tests for the Lyapunov exponents of deterministic dynamical systems, we develop bootstrap tests based on empirical likelihood for percentiles and expectiles of strictly stationary processes. The percentiles and expectiles are estimated in terms of asymmetric least...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011126619
Decision theorists claim that an ordinal measure of risk may be sufficient for an agent to make a rational choice under uncertainty. We propose a measure of financial risk, namely the Varying Cross-sectional Risk (VCR), that is based on a ranking of returns. VCR is defined as the probability of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005328940