This paper re-examines the Cagan model of German hyperinflation during the 1920s under the twin hypotheses that the system contains variables that are I(2) and that a linear trend is required in the cointegrating relations. Using the recently developed I(2) cointegration analysis developed by...

This study examines the proposition that destabilizing speculation caused the overvaluation of the pound sterling in mid-1924 and the depreciation of the franc Poincare in mid-1925, by testing for the existence of long-run purchasing power parity in the 1920s for the dollar/sterling,...

The monetary model of exchange rate determination is tested by means of cointegration analysis for three bilateral drachma exchange rates over the period September 1919 to April 1928. Strong evidence is obtained for the drachma-US dollar case of a long-run relationship which is identified with...

In this article we apply the Extreme Value Theory (EVT) in order to estimate the Value-at-Risk (VaR) and the correlation of extreme returns for two inherently unstable markets; the foreign exchange and the stock market. We also derive the corresponding VaR estimates from more 'traditional'...