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We derive the optimal monetary policy in a sticky price model when private agents follow adaptive learning. We show … order to facilitate private sector learning and thus ease the future intratemporal inflation-output gap trade-offs. The … policy recommendation is robust: the welfare loss entailed by the optimal policy under learning if the private sector …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008596587
losses are outweighed by short term gains from the learning phase. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011155373
This paper contributes to the old theme of testing for rationality of inflation expectations in surveys, using two very different surveys in parallel. Focusing on the euro area and using two well-known surveys that include questions on inflation expectations, the Consensus Forecast survey and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604767
We develop a technique for analyzing the response dynamics of economic variables to structural shocks in linear rational expectations models. Our work differs from standard SVARs since we allow expectations of future variables to enter structural equations. We show how to estimate the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013318029
, learning from the experience of the 1970s, eschewed activist policies in favor of policies that concentrated on the achievement …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604383
: rational expectations and learning. We show that in this environment the ability to stabilize the real side of the economy is … private learning and misperceptions of natural rates call for greater policy inertia, a more aggressive response to inflation … economy. We show that such policies are quite robust to potential misspecification of private sector learning and the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604810
optimise under limited-information model-consistent learning, where each agent knows the parameters related to his …/her optimization problem. Under this learning approach the effect of a monetary policy shock on output and inflation is more muted but … learning version, we .find stronger expansionary effects of an increase in government expenditure during periods of downturns …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011605790
by the strength of a private learning channel from prices, arising from the multidimensional sources of asymmetric … information, in relation to the usual public learning channel. When the private learning channel is strong (weak) in relation to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013316183
We develop a dynamic stochastic general equilibrium model with rational inattention by households and firms. Consumption responds slowly to interest rate changes because households decide to pay little attention to the real interest rate. Prices respond quickly to some shocks and slowly to other...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013127486
This paper performs a welfare analysis of economies with private information when public information is endogenously generated and agents can condition on noisy public statistics in the rational expectations tradition. Equilibrium is not (restricted) efficient even when feasible allocations...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009144884