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Altavilla, Carlo; Brugnolini, Luca; Gürkaynak, Refet S.; … - 2019

We study the information flow from the ECB on policy dates since its inception, using tick data. We show that three factors capture about all of the variation in the yield curve but that these are different factors with different variance shares in the window that contains the policy decision...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012029090

Oil prices and stock markets : what drives what in the gulf corporation council countries?

Arouri, Mohamed; Rault, Christophe - 2010

In the empirical literature, only few studies have focused on the relationship between oil prices and stock markets in net oil-importing countries. In net oil-exporting countries this relationship has not been widely researched. This paper implements the panel-data approach of Kónya (2006),...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003937088

The weekly structure of US stock prices

Caporale, Guglielmo Maria; Gil-Alaña, Luis A. - 2010

In this paper we use fractional integration techniques to examine the degree of integration of four US stock market indices, namely the Standard and Poor, Dow Jones, Nasdaq and NYSE, at a daily frequency from January 2005 till December 2009. We analyse the weekly structure of the series and...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008732289

Testing uncovered interest rate parity using LIBOR

Omer, Muhammad; Haan, Jakob de; Scholtens, Bert - 2012

, Smeekes, and Urbain (2010) and cointegration techniques by Westerlund (2007), we find that UIP holds for short-term maturities … cointegration …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009570031

Common trends and common cycles among interest rates of the G7-countries

Lindenberg, Nannette; Westermann, Frank - 2009

operandi to analyze the time series characteristics of interest rates and to test for common features. We conduct cointegration … ; comovement ; cointegration ; serial correlation common feature ; codependence …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003807777

On the influence of oil prices on stock markets : evidence from panel analysis in GCC countries

Arouri, Mohamed; Rault, Christophe - 2009

This paper implements recent bootstrap panel cointegration techniques and Seemingly Unrelated regression (SUR) methods … October 2008, and from January 1996 to December 2007, our investigation shows that there is evidence for cointegration of oil … stock prices, except in Saudi Arabia. -- GCC stock markets ; oil prices ; panel cointegration analysis …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003854428

The impacts of the dollar-renminbi exchange rate misalignment on the China-United States commodity trade : an asymmetric analysis

Ferjani, Sabrine; Saafi, Sami; Nouira, Ridha; Rault, … - 2022

Contrary to most existing studies of the literature that assumed that the effects of real exchange rate (RE) misalignment on trade flows are symmetric, this paper considers a more general and realistic framework allowing for possible asymmetric effects. We use monthly time-series data over the...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013177135

A note on temporary supply shocks with aggregate demand inertia

Caballero, Ricardo J.; Simsek, Alp - 2022

We study optimal monetary policy during temporary supply contractions when aggregate demand has inertia and expansionary policy is constrained. In this environment, it is optimal to run the economy hot until supply recovers. Positive output gaps in the low-supply phase lessen the negative output...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012886884

Seven pitfalls of technical analysis

Caporale, Guglielmo Maria; Plastun, Alex - 2023

This paper examines the main drawbacks of technical analysis. Although this is widely used by practitioners, from an academic perspective it can only be seen as a form of "voodoo finance". In particular, it runs into the following pitfalls: Subjectivity; Doubtful assumptions; Unjustified...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013489574

Carbon dioxide as a risky asset

Bauer, Adam Michael; Proistosescu, Cristian; Wagner, Gernot - 2023

We develop a financial-economic model for carbon pricing with an explicit representation of decision making under risk and uncertainty that is consistent with the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change's sixth assessment report. We find that this approach provides economic support for the...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013549072