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This paper evaluates whether macroeconomic uncertainty changes the impact of oil shocks on the oil price. Using a structural threshold VAR model, we endogenously identify different regimes of uncertainty in which we estimate the effects of oil demand and supply shocks. The results show that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011605524
This paper evaluates whether macroeconomic uncertainty changes the impact of oil shocks on the oil price. Using a structural threshold VAR model, we endogenously identify different regimes of uncertainty in which we estimate the effects of oil demand and supply shocks. The results show that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013065408
unexpected gas price supply shocks on HICP inflation in the euro area and its four largest economies. In comparison to oil price … shocks, gas price shocks have approximately one-third smaller pass-through to headline inflation. Country-specific results … indicate gas price increases matter more for German, Spanish and Italian inflation than for French inflation, hinging on the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015199451
We model provincial inflation in China during the reform period. In particular, we are interested in the ability of the … hybrid New Keynesian Phillips Curve (NKPC) to capture the inflation process at the provincial level. The study highlights … differences in inflation formation and shows that the NKPC provides a reasonable description of the inflation process only for the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604875
We focus on the implications of the shale oil boom for the global supply of oil. We begin with a stylized model with two producers, one facing low production costs and one higher production costs but potentially lower adjustment costs, competing á la Stackelberg. We find that the supply...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012142153
In a simplified theoretical framework we model the strategic interactions between OPEC and non-OPEC producers and the implications for the global oil market. Depending on market conditions, OPEC may find it optimal to act either as a monopolist on the residual demand curve, to move supply...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012422030
In a simplified theoretical framework we model the strategic interactions between OPEC and non-OPEC producers and the implications for the global oil market. Depending on market conditions, OPEC may find it optimal to act either as a monopolist on the residual demand curve, to move supply...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012842744
We focus on the implications of the shale oil boom for the global supply of oil. We begin with a stylized model with two producers, one facing low production costs and one higher production costs but potentially lower adjustment costs, competing à la Stackelberg. We find that the supply...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013315351
through to all components of euro area inflation - producer prices, wages and core inflation, which has implications for …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014543615
and at the beginning of a quarter, on various conditional frequencies of adjustment, inflation and its variability …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013317514