Showing 1 - 10 of 201
-related variables accounts for changes (rises) in the Okun's parameter in the US in recent decades. Accordingly, the unemployment gap is … increasingly associated with a smaller output gap. Whilst the Great Recession accelerated that rise, the bulk of the change …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012389548
-related variables accounts for changes (rises) in the Okun's parameter in the US in recent decades. Accordingly, the unemployment gap is … increasingly associated with a smaller output gap. Whilst the Great Recession accelerated that rise, the bulk of the change …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012844617
We show that financial variables contribute to the forecast of GDP growth during the Great Recession, providing additional insights on both first and higher moments of the GDP growth distribution. If a recession is due to an unforeseen shock (such as the Covid-19 recession), financial variables...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012422098
We show that financial variables contribute to the forecast of GDP growth during the Great Recession, providing additional insights on both first and higher moments of the GDP growth distribution. If a recession is due to an unforeseen shock (such as the Covid-19 recession), financial variables...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012829414
pressures, increase in competitiveness, and higher output. A rational expectation and a learning version of the ECB’s New Multi … institutions, in the above countries the adjustment should be expected to deliver output gains less quickly than in the Baltic …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011605557
at risk in the euro area and in the United States. We model the asymmetry of the shocks to changes in the unemployment … the unemployment rate displays time-varying volatility and skewness, with peaks coinciding with the Global Financial … risk defined as the possible joint event of large increases in the unemployment rate and large annual rates of inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014374784
pressures, increase in competitiveness, and higher output. A rational expectation and a learning version of the ECB's New Multi … institutions, in the above countries the adjustment should be expected to deliver output gains less quickly than in the Baltic …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013087140
at risk in the euro area and in the United States. We model the asymmetry of the shocks to changes in the unemployment … the unemployment rate displays time-varying volatility and skewness, with peaks coinciding with the Global Financial … risk defined as the possible joint event of large increases in the unemployment rate and large annual rates of inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014352662
This paper studies the dynamics of unemployment (u) and its natural rate (u*), with u* measured by real-time estimates …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012819039
We quantify the degree of persistence in unemployment rates of transition countries using a variety of methods … unit roots in unemployment. Since this is potentially a narrow definition, we also take into account the existence of … structural breaks and non-linear dynamics in unemployment. Finally, we examine whether CEECs' unemployment presents features of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604280