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This paper estimates a time-varying AR-GARCH model of inflation producing measures of inflation uncertainty for the … change associated with the start of EMU in 1999. The main findings are as follows. Steadystate inflation and inflation … can achieve lower inflation uncertainty by lowering the inflation rate. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011605275
This paper studies the effect of monetary policy on inflation along the income distribution in several euro area …. On the one hand, different consumption shares imply that inflation by high-income households responds less to monetary … its reaction to monetary policy, which imply that inflation by high-income households responds more to monetary policy. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014543661
On 1 June 2018 the ECB celebrated its 20th anniversary. This paper provides a comprehensive view of the ECB's monetary policy over these two decades. The first section provides a chronological account of the macroeconomic and monetary policy developments in the euro area since the adoption of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012142063
We explain the role of the Phillips Curve in the analysis of the economic outlook and the formulation of monetary policy at the ECB. First, revisiting the structural Phillips Curve, we highlight the challenges in recovering structural parameters from reduced-form estimates and relate the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012422062
Consumers' inflation expectations play a key role in the monetary transmission mechanism. As such, it is crucial for … as means to shed light on some of the more puzzling aspects of reported quantitative inflation perceptions and … expectations. These include the apparent overestimation of inflation by consumers as well as the negative correlation observed …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013272133
a rationale for the practice of inflation zone targeting. We show that the presence of either zone-quadratic preferences … or a zone-linear relationship between inflation and economic activity provides strong incentives to deviate from … structure and relative preference towards economic stability in determining the width of the implied targeted inflation zone. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604054
situation poses to price stability. We propose to regard the central banker as a risk manager who aims to contain inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604272
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604319
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604336
In order to explain the joint fluctuations of output, inflation and the labor market, this paper first develops a … helps to explain the sluggishness of inflation and the persistence of output after a monetary policy shock. The ability of … the model to account for the joint dynamics of output and inflation rely on its ability to explain the dynamics in the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604350