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Euro redenomination risk is the risk that a euro asset will be redenominated into a devalued legacy currency. We … propose a time-varying, country-specific market perception of intra-euro area redenomination risk measure, defined as the … and using Germany as benchmark, we show that the redenomination risk shocks, defined as the unexplained component of the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013020790
In this paper we study risk-neutral densities (RNDs) for the German stock market. The use of option prices allows us to … quantify the risk-neutral probabilities of various levels of the DAX index. For the period from December 1995 to November 2001 …, we implement the mixture of log-normals model and a volatility-smoothing method. We discuss the time series behaviour of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604258
The extension of GARCH models to the multivariate setting has been fraught with difficulties. In this paper, we suggest to work with univariate portfolio GARCH models. We show how the multivariate dimension of the portfolio allocation problem may be recovered from the univariate approach. The...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604240
We develop a measure of overall financial risk in China by applying machine learning techniques to textual data. A pre …-defined set of relevant newspaper articles is first selected using a specific constellation of risk-related keywords. Then, we … employ topical modelling based on an unsupervised machine learning algorithm to decompose financial risk into its thematic …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014258212
factor risk model, when augmented with reference returns, is capable of generating visually consistent return distributions … Japanese yen bond markets. The reference returns result from a regime-switching Nelson-Siegel yield curve model following …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013317575
de-anchoring risk during the last quarter of 2014; while showing a significant reduction after the peak, our de …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011606041
. Overall, our results signal a risk of downside de-anchoring of long-term inflation expectations. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011606042
. Overall, our results signal a risk of downside de-anchoring of long-term inflation expectations …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012963936
de-anchoring risk during the last quarter of 2014; while showing a significant reduction after the peak, our de …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012963938
Market participants use leveraged derivatives to gain access to equity market exposure through broker banks. Leverage and interconnectedness via overlapping portfolios of dealer banks can amplify adverse market movements, potentially causing sizeable losses. I propose a model, based on granular...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013491644