Engle, Robert F; Ito, Takatoshi; Lin, Wen-Ling - In: Econometrica 58 (1990) 3, pp. 525-42
This paper seeks to explain the causes of volatility clustering in exchange rates. Careful examination of intra-daily exchange rates provides a test of two hypotheses--heat waves and meteor showers. The heat wave hypothesis is that the volatility in one market is predicted only by the past of...