Showing 1 - 10 of 127
This papers finds evidence of fractional integration for a number of monthly ex post real interest rate series using the GPH semiparametric estimator on data from fourteen European countries and the US. However, we pose empirical questions on certain time series requirements that emerge from...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005407898
cover pandemics have a change in trend and persistence in growth, and in level and persistence in unemployment. We find that … in recent times seem to have a permanent effect on growth. Moreover, our results show that the unemployment rate …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012696300
In this paper we apply compactly supported wavelets to the ARFIMA(p,d,q) long-memory process to develop an alternative maximum likelihood estimator of the differencing parameter, d, that is invariant to the unknown mean and model specification, and to the level of contamination. We show that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005407968
We analyze by simulation the properties of two time domain and two frequency domain estimators for low order autoregressive fractionally integrated moving average Gaussian models, ARFIMA (p,d,q). The estimators considered are the exact maximum likelihood for demeaned data, EML, the associated...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005119109
We develop an ordinary least squares estimator of the long memory parameter from a fractionally integrated process that is an alternative to the Geweke Porter-Hudak estimator. Using the wavelet transform from a fractionally integrated process, we establish a log-linear relationship between the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005407950
We study the asymptotic behaviour of frequency domain maximum likelihood estimators of mis-specified models of long memory Gaussian series. We show that even if the long memory structure of the time series is correctly specified, mis-specification of the short memory dynamics may result in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005556354
A common finding in the empirical literature is that financial volatility exhibits high persistence, or slow mean reversion of the order of months. We present evidence that financial volatility data contains more than a single time scale. After showing that the expectation of the sum of the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005119104
Econometric studies for global heating have typically used regional or global temperature averages to study its long memory properties. One typical explanation behind the long memory properties of temperature averages is cross-sectional aggregation. Nonetheless, formal analysis regarding the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012696314
Apart from the well-known, high persistence of daily financial volatility data, there is also a short correlation structure that reverts to the mean in less than a month. We find this short correlation time scale in six different daily financial time series and use it to improve the short-term...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005062571
By design a wavelet's strength rests in its ability to simultaneously localize a process in time-scale space. The wavelet's ability to localize a time series in time-scale space directly leads to the computational efficiency of the wavelet representation of a N X N matrix operator by allowing...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005119098