The debt crisis in the euro area led to obvious changes in the structure of euro area bond markets. To model the process of disintegration that has taken place as a result of this crisis, this analysis uses a dynamic factor model with time-varying loadings and two factors. While some core...

A trade-off exists between the Gelfand and Dey (1994) and Chib (1995) methods to calculate the marginal likelihood in Bayesian estimation. Using the Markov Chain Monte Carlo method, we demonstrate that the performance of the two methods is fairly close.

This paper characterizes the co-movements in commodity prices with a dynamic latent factor model that decomposes commodity returns into global, sectoral, and idiosyncratic components. The results indicate that global and sectoral factors are important sources of co-movements in commodity...