The paper examines the effects of aid and its volatility on consumption, investment, and the structure of production in the context of an intertemporal two-sector general equilibrium model. A permanent flow of aid finances mainly consumption, a result consistent with the historical failure of...

We study the characteristics of credit booms in emerging and industrial economies. Macro data show a systematic relationship between credit booms and economic expansions, rising asset prices, real appreciations and widening external deficits. Micro data show a strong association between credit...

The interaction between credit frictions, financial innovation, and a switch from optimistic to pessimistic beliefs played a central role in the 2008 financial crisis. This paper develops a quantitative general equilibrium framework in which this interaction drives the financial amplification...

We study the characteristics of credit booms in emerging and industrial economies. Macro data show a systematic relationship between credit booms and economic expansions, rising asset prices, real appreciations and widening external deficits. Micro data show a strong association between credit...

Intro -- Contents -- I. INTRODUCTION -- II. A MODEL OF GLOBALIZATION HAZARD AND PRICE GUARANTEES -- III. CHARACTERIZING THE GLOBALIZATION HAZARD-MORAL HAZARD TRADEOFF -- IV. QUANTITATIVE ANALYSIS -- V. NORMATIVE IMPLICATIONS AND SENSITIVITY ANALYSIS -- VI. CONCLUSIONS -- REFERENCES.

Intro -- Contents -- I. INTRODUCTION -- II. VARIANCE ANALYSIS OF THE PESO-DOLLAR REAL EXCHANGE RATE -- III. SUDDEN STOPS AND NONTRADABLES-DRIVEN REAL EXCHANGE RATE VOLATILITY -- IV. CONCLUSIONS -- REFERENCES.