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In recent years there has been increasing concern about the identification of parameters in dynamic stochastic general equilibrium (DSGE) models. Given the structure of DSGE models it may be difficult to determine whether a parameter is identified. For the researcher using Bayesian methods, a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010278760
This paper describes a semiparametric Bayesian method for analyzing duration data. The proposed estimator specifies a complete functional form for duration spells, but allows flexibility by introducing an individual heterogeneity term, which follows a Dirichlet mixture distribution. I show how...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010276176
We study the impact of global climate change on the prevalence of tropical diseases using a heterogeneous agent dynamic general equilibrium model. In our framework, households can take actions (e.g., purchasing bednets or other goods) that provide partial protection from disease. However, these...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010269933
than by GARCH type volatility estimates. The t-DCC estimation procedure is applied to a portfolio of daily returns on …-DCC specification. The t-DCC model also passes a number of VaR diagnostic tests over an evaluation sample. The estimation results …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010276254
that this will lead to a dynamic factor model with the dominant unit acting as the factor. The problems of estimation and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010276258
Carlo experiments, where we also study the estimation of the aggregate effects of micro and macro shocks. The paper …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010285520
averaging over forecasts from different models. Second, we look at different estimation windows. We find that averaging over … estimation windows is at least as effective as averaging over different models and both complement each other. Third, we explore …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010276259
different policy implications. We propose a Bayesian estimation and predictive framework to analyze the effects and relative …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010269113
In this paper we reevaluate the returns to education based on the increase in the compulsory schooling age from 14 to 15 in the UK in 1947. We provide a Bayesian fuzzy regression discontinuity approach to infer the effect on earnings for a subset of subjects who turned 14 in a narrow window...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010278476
number of issues of concern about how they are estimated and then related to the underlying macroeconomic theory. The first …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010276262