Showing 1 - 10 of 24
This paper builds a benchmark framework to study optimal land use, encompassing land use activities and environmental degradation. We focus on the spatial externalities of land use as drivers of spatial patterns: land is immobile by nature, but local actions affect the whole space since...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011209221
I study how boundedly rational agents can learn a "good" solution to an infinite horizon optimal consumption problem under uncertainty and liquidity constraints. Using an empirically plausible theory of learning I propose a class of adaptive learning algorithms that agents might use to choose a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011051890
“Constant proportion portfolio insurance” is a popular technique among portfolio insurance strategies: the risky part of a portfolio is reallocated with respect to market conditions, via a fixed parameter (the multiple), guaranteeing a predetermined floor. We propose here to use a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011051913
An investor concerned with the downside risk of a black swan only needs a small portfolio to reap the benefits from diversification. This matches actual portfolio sizes, but does contrast with received wisdom from mean–variance analysis and intuition regarding fat tailed distributed returns....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010599365
Does a change in the public׳s holdings of government debt affect the term structure of interest rates? Empirical analysis using a VAR model indicates that a rise in these holdings of the real debt-to-GDP ratio increases both the three-month and ten-year U.S. nominal yields in a statistically...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011209196
This paper presents a DSGE model in which agents׳ learning about the economy can endogenously generate time-varying macroeconomic volatility. Economic agents use simple models to form expectations and need to learn the relevant parameters. Their gain coefficient is endogenous and is adjusted...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011051878
Using laboratory experiments within a New Keynesian sticky price framework, we study the process of inflation expectation formation. We focus on adaptive learning and rational expectations contrary to the previous literature that mostly studied simple heuristics. Using a test for rational...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011051944
We examine global dynamics under infinite-horizon learning in New Keynesian models where the interest-rate rule is subject to the zero lower bound. The intended steady state is locally but not globally stable. Unstable deflationary paths emerge after large pessimistic shocks to expectations. For...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011051974
stability properties, under statistical and evolutionary learning, as a model without a confidence affect. From this setup, I …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011051981
We study the impact of anticipated fiscal policy changes in a Ramsey economy where agents form long-horizon expectations using adaptive learning. We extend the existing framework by introducing distortionary taxes as well as elastic labor supply, which makes agents’ decisions non-predetermined...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010744180