Showing 1 - 10 of 159
forecasting. The parameter space for SSOE models may be specified to match that of the corresponding ARIMA scheme, or it may be … that underlies the Holt-Winters forecasting method. Conditionally heteroscedastic models may be developed in a similar …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005427626
the other periods. Croston's method is a widely used procedure for intermittent demand forecasting. However, it is an ad …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005087603
assumed to be Gaussian, the resulting prediction distribution may have an infinite variance beyond a certain forecasting … approximation causes no serious problems for parameter estimation or for forecasting one or two steps ahead. However, for longer …. The performance of the Gaussian approximation is compared with those of two lognormal models for short-term forecasting …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005125278
In this paper, we consider a partially linear panel data model with cross-sectional dependence and non-stationarity. Meanwhile, we allow fixed effects to be correlated with the regressors to capture unobservable heterogeneity. Under a general spatial error dependence structure, we then...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011262825
We provide Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithms for computing the bandwidth matrix for multivariate kernel density estimation. Our approach is based on treating the elements of the bandwidth matrix as parameters to be estimated, which we do by optimizing the likelihood cross-validation...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005149069
well in forecasting comparisons. The aim of this paper is to introduce a new forecasting technique by integrating the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011188645
Theoretical results on the properties of forecasts obtained using singular spectrum analysis are presented in this paper. The mean squared forecast error is derived under broad regularity conditions, and it is shown that the forecasts obtained in practice will converge to their population...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010958947
UK pound and US dollar. Its forecasting capacity is compared to other common single- and multi-series approaches in an …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005087602
This paper investigates the effect of aggregation and non-linearity in relation to television rating forecasts. Several linear models for aggregated and disaggregated television viewing have appeared in the literature. The current analysis extends this work using an empirical approach. We...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005149111
Age-sex-specific population forecasts are derived through stochastic population renewal using forecasts of mortality, fertility and net migration. Functional data models with time series coefficients are used to model age-specific mortality and fertility rates. As detailed migration data are...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005427608