Showing 1 - 10 of 503
stable inflation behavior will be generated -- is incorrect. This is because New Keynesian (NK) models are typically … consistent with the existence of RE paths with explosive inflation rates (in addition to one or more stable paths) that normally … imply the absence of explosive inflation. That result does not, however, justify negative conclusions about NK analysis. For …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013239190
This paper characterizes the properties of various interest-rate rules in a basic forward-looking model. We compare simple Taylor rules and rules that respond to price-level fluctuations (called Wicksellian rules). We argue that by introducing an appropriate amount of history dependence in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013143464
This paper documents the evolution of long-run inflation expectations and models the stance of monetary policy from … 1965 to 1980. A host of survey-based measures and financial market data indicate that long-run inflation expectations rose … with a constant inflation goal, our analysis indicates that the path of policy can be characterized by a reaction function …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013149298
linking interest rates to forecasts of future inflation. Such rules have been found to give rise to aggregate fluctuations due … interest-rate rules whereby the central bank responds to a measure of past inflation. The consensus view that has emerged is … inflation are likely to ensure global stability provided that the coefficient on lagged interest rates is greater than unity …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013247248
mechanically, buying and selling bonds in accordance with a Taylor policy rule based on expected inflation. In this setting we show … that stock market returns are much less than one-for-one related to inflation over a one-year holding period, which means …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013405031
innovations, and negatively correlated with inflation innovations. The disinflationary nature of news shocks is consistent with …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013156463
inflation rates in shaping the response of real exchange rates to shocks. We document two facts about inflation … rate is a poor predictor of future inflation rates. We estimate a medium-size DSGE open-economy model that accounts … that accounts for the dynamics of exchange rates and their covariance with inflation are disturbances to the foreign demand …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012963169
Discussions of monetary policy rules after the 2007-2009 recession highlight the potential ineffectiveness of a central bank's actions when the short-term interest rate under its control is limited by the zero lower bound. This perspective assumes, in a manner consistent with the canonical New...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012963170
We extend Farmer's (2012b) Monetary (FM) Model in three ways. First, we derive an analog of the Taylor Principle and we show that it fails in U.S. data. Second, we use the fact that the model displays dynamic indeterminacy to explain the real effects of nominal shocks. Third, we use the fact the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012947626
Is there a link between loose monetary conditions, credit growth, house price booms, and financial instability? This paper analyzes the role of interest rates and credit in driving house price booms and busts with data spanning 140 years of modern economic history in the advanced economies. We...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013039761