Campa, Jose Manuel; Chang, P.H. Kevin; Refalo, James F. - National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER) - 1999
This paper uses currency option data from the BMF, the Commodities and Futures exchange in Sao Paulo, Brazil, to investigate market expectations on the Brazilian Real-U.S. dollar exchange rate from October 1994 through July 1997. Using options data, we derive implied probability density...