Showing 1 - 10 of 190
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009884604
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009772561
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003807414
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003875083
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003938531
We consider forecasting from age-period-cohort models, as well as from the extended chain-ladder model. The parameters of these models are known only to be identified up to linear trends. Forecasts from such models may therefore depend on arbitrary linear trends. A condition for invariant...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005730287
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012262754
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012492527
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10002396513
We consider the identification problem for the model of Lee and Carter (1992). The parameters of this model are known only to be identified up to certain transformations. Forecasts from the model may therefore depend on the arbitrarily chosen identification scheme. A condition for invariant...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013135261