This book focuses on the stabilization and growth problems of Ireland, an archetypal peripheral member of the EC. In part I, a supply-side neo-Keynesian macro-econometric model is developed, which captures the stylised features of the economy: high dependence on multinational FDI; an open labour...

Long-horizon predictive regressions in finance pose formidable econometric problems when estimated using the sample sizes that are typically available. A remedy that has been proposed by Hodrick (1992) is to run a reverse regression in which short-horizon returns are projected onto a long-run...

We find that adding a measure of market jump volatility risk to a regression of excess bond returns on the term structure of forward rates nearly doubles the R square of the regression. Our market jump volatility measure is based on the realized jumps identified from high-frequency stock market...