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Tests for shift detection in locally-stationary autoregressive time series are constructed which resist contamination by a substantial amount of outliers. Tests based on a comparison of local medians standardized by a highly robust estimate of the variability show reliable performance in a broad...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003835696
Abrupt shifts in the level of a time series represent important information and should be preserved in statistical signal extraction. We investigate rules for detecting level shifts that are resistant to outliers and which work with only a short time delay. The properties of robustified versions...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003581856
We discuss robust estimation of INARCH models for count time series, where each observation conditionally on its past follows a negative binomial distribution with a constant scale parameter, and the conditional mean depends linearly on previous observations. We develop several robust...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014501775
In many situations, it is crucial to estimate the variance properly. Ordinary variance estimators perform poorly in the presence of shifts in the mean. We investigate an approach based on non-overlapping blocks, which yields good results in change-point scenarios. We show the strong consistency...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014503393
We study the problem of intervention effects generating various types of outliers in a linear count time series model. This model belongs to the class of observation driven models and extends the class of Gaussian linear time series models within the exponential family framework. Studies about...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010316418
In critical care extremely high dimensional time series are generated by clinical information systems. This yields new perspectives of data recording and also causes a new challenge for statistical methodology. Recently graphical correlation models have been developed for analysing the partial...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010316467
Clinical information systems can record numerous variables describing the patient’s state at high sampling frequencies. Intelligent alarm systems and suitable bedside decision support are needed to cope with this flood of information. A basic task here is the fast and correct detection of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010316513