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chapter investigates the use of economic forecasting in policy making by discussing practical examples, providing new … institutional details of the forecasting process at fiscal authorities and central banks. We provide empirical evidence that central … producing forecasts. We review forecasting models and provide practical applications. In particular, we illustrate how to use …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014025544
made in the first oil price shock of the 1970s. In response to the challenges encountered in forecasting in recent years … and the lessons learnt, the OECD and other international organisations have sought to improve their forecasting techniques …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010374419
inflation forecasting and monetary policy decision support. In contrast to the previous conditional projections, the MPM offers …, expectations by economic agents play a key role in monetary transmission; therefore, instead of one-off interest rate measures, the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009224855
We study alternative monetary policy strategies in the presence of the lower bound on nominal interest rates and a low equilibrium real rate using an estimated DSGE model for the euro area. We demonstrate that simple feedback rules that implement inflation targeting result in a binding lower...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014374585
Many commentators have argued that if the Federal Reserve had followed a stricter monetary policy earlier this decade when the housing bubble was forming, and if Congress had not deregulated banking but had imposed tighter financial standards, the housing boom and bust - and the subsequent...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013155688
We study alternative monetary policy strategies in the presence of the lower bound on nominal interest rates and a low equilibrium real rate using an estimated DSGE model for the euro area. We find that simple feedback rules that implement inflation targeting result in a binding lower bound...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014355956
We study alternative monetary policy strategies in the presence of the lower bound on nominal interest rates and a low equilibrium real rate using an estimated DSGE model for the euro area. We demonstrate that simple feedback rules that implement inflation targeting result in a binding lower...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014278603
methodological contributions, especially with regard to economic forecasting. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012157628