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By following the spirit in Favero and Milani (2005), we use recursive thick modeling to take into account model uncertainty for the choice of optimal monetary policy. We consider an open economy model and generate multiple models for only the aggregate demand and aggregate supply. Models are...
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The choice of monetary policy is the most important concern of central banks, but this choice is always confronted with two relevant aspects of economic policy: parameter instability and model uncertainty. This paper deals with both types of uncertainty and shows that recursive thick modeling is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012732832
In this note a one-state, one-control variable quadratic linear problem with robust control and discount factor is developed to examine the optimal response of the first-period control to changes in future model uncertainty. A change in future model uncertainty has an effect on the optimal...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005345244
After analysing the evolution of exports from the large Latin American countries over the last decade, and examining on a case by case basis the determinants for each country's performance, this study concludes that competitiveness in the manufacturing sectors of most countries in the region...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012921971
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Uncertainty about the persistence of periods characterized by large price shocks is an important aspect of monetary policy. This type of uncertainty posed some difficulties for central banks in 2004. This paper formalizes the treatment of this type of uncertainty by solving an optimal control...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014064599
In this paper an analytical framework similar to a robust control problem was developed for the one-state, one-control variable model to examine the response of the control variable to change in the quot;freequot; parameter. However, in contrast to Gonzalez and Rodriguez (2003), the sign...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012770536