[eng] The new Parliament opens in a very different international context from that faced by recent governments. The « reverse oil crisis », accentuated by the fall in the exchange rate of the dollar, will simultaneously improve all four corners of the French economy's « magic square » :...

[eng] The evolution of the economic policies of the socialist government can be divided into three phases. The first, from May 1981 to the devaluation of June 1982, can be characterized as expansionist and aimed specifically at reducing unemployment. This expansionist policy was partially offset...

[eng] This article presents the evolution of the french economy, quantified by the annual OFCE model (up to 1988) according to three alternative scenarios. The upturn recently observed in OECD countries can hardly be considered a return to expansion. The growth of GDP in OECD countries and that...

[eng] As requested by the economic administrations of some African countries, the OFCE Econometric Department was led to build and finalize short and medium term forecasting models different from those currently used in the developed countries. This paper presents the model built for the...

[eng] What Prospects for French Social Security ? A. Fonteneau, A. Gubian, H. Sterdyniak, C. Verpeaux In the future, the ageing of the population, increases in health expenditures, the rise of unemployment and the necessity to encourage the birth rate will make the problems of the social...

[eng] The French Social Security : History and Forecasts A. Fonteneau, A. Gubian, H. Sterdyniak, C. Verpeaux The ratio of social security payments to GDP has expanded from 17 to 27 percent over the last twenty years. Three sub-periods can be distinguished. From 1968 to 1973, there was a rapid...