This article describes the application to an operational medium-size econometric model, mini-DMS, of methods associating, to deterministic forecasts, a measure of the uncertainty due to the stochastic nature of behavioural equations. After having described the theoretical and practical...

[fre] Un nouveau modèle, Mini-DMS-Energie, issu du modèle macroéconomique DMS et intégrant les principales relations de fonctionnement du secteur énergétique vient d'être réalisé. Il doit permettre de mesurer les effets réciproques d'événements ou de décisions intervenant, soit dans...

This paper describes a two-sector demo-economic model (agricultural and non-agricultural sectors) applied to Europe and spanning the period from the neolithic agricultural revolution to the Industrial Revolution. The model describes the "incessant contest" between population growth and food...