This paper presents a comparison of econometric models used for economic forecasting, focusing on Madagascar’s Gross Domestic Product (GDP). The models analyzed include OLS, ARIMA, ARIMAX and VAR, each with its advantages and limitations. The OLS model is selected for its robust performance...

Résumé - L’objectif de ce papier est de présenter succinctement la théorie du commerce international avec des firmes hétérogènes. En particulier, nous étudions deux principales variantes d'extensions de cette théorie qui mettent l’accent sur 1) l’endogénéisation de la...

Avec une croissance soutenue, une vague d'investissements directs étrangers sans précédent, et un net recul de la pauvreté, le bilan des quinze dernières années est largement positif pour l'Afrique sub-saharienne. Ce regain de croissance, qui s'est accompagné de réformes économiques...

This paper empirically analyzes the impact of agricultural exports on economic growth in Tunisia. Econometrical specifications are based on a neoclassical production function to explain this goal and the data cover the period 1988-2014. Empirical results show that agricultural exports have a...

This article attempts to give a descriptive study of the variation in Tunisian foreign trade followed by a change in the institutional quality measured by the perception index of corruption during the period 1999-2012. As a result, corruption affects Tunisia's foreign trade, and it has been...

This article attempts to provide empirical validation of financial globalization. First, we will give an idea about the reorganization of global companies and production functions will emphasize the extent of the phenomenon. Similarly, we will talk if the importance of the size reflects the law...

This paper analyzes the effects of international trade on the economic growth of ECOWAS countries. The augmented version of the Solow’s growth model (1956) used by Mankiw et al. (1992) served as the basis for the specification of the model. The generalized moment method (GMM) in system was...

This study estimated the real equilibrium exchange rate and its misalignment by adopting the Natural Real Exchange Rate (NATREX) approach and by using ARDL cointegration model, the aim is to interpret the impact of the determinants used to estimate the equilibrium exchange rate and afterward to...

This paper aims to model theoretically the fundamental links between financial development, foreign direct investment and economic development. In particular, we show that the entry of foreign capital flows can support an endogenous economic growth path of the host country. Indeed, we give the...

Several econometrical recent studies carried on international comparison data puts into question the opinion according to which education as a human capital indicator would encourage growth. This result comes in a context of opening to the outside. The evaluations are made on data of dynamic...