In our paper, we use the gravity model of the international trade to estimate the effect of the future WTO ascension for Russia based on the current WTO effect for Russia's WTO trade partners. Starting from Rose's specification, we constructed several progressively exact models. Nevertheless,...

This paper is following lectures given in 2010 at the Department of Economics of the European University at St. Petersburg in frameworks of the course Socio-economic statistics (module Natural resource statistics). (in Russian)

An AK-model of economic growth is considered based upon a supposition that there are several agents in an economy, which have initially different wealth. Saving rate of each agent depends on her wealth. Main attention is given to asymptotic behavior of equilibrium paths. (in Russian)

We analyze equilibrium paths in two models of overlapping generations with reciprocal altruism. The first one allows us to consider a case of different propensity to of consumer to support her children and parents (non-symmetrical altruism). In this model, an equilibrium is a Nash equilibrium....

We perform an econometric analysis of cointegration of the Brent oil price and general and industrial indices of the RTS and MICEX stock exchanges. Positive relation between the oil price and the MICEX industrial index for an oil sector. It is interesting to note that a cointegration between the...

We investigate macroeconomics effects of an oil price in Russia in 2000-2010. We find long-run relations associating the oil price, the GDP, the CPI and the interbank interest rate. (in Russian)

A huge size of an oil market and its relation to economic growth and global wealth distribution make the oil an unique commodity. Oil price prediction is associated with plans of development of states as well as firms. Jumps in oil prices influence world economy similarly to natural disasters of...