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Previous empirical studies of information cascades use either naturally occurring data or laboratory experiments with student subjects. We combine attractive elements from each of these lines of research by observing market professionals from the Chicago Board of Trade (CBOT) in a controlled...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012778118
We test the prevalence, sources and effects of herding among large speculative traders in thirty U.S. futures markets over 2004-2009. Using unique U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) data identifying daily trader positions we compare herding among hedge funds and floor market...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012707319
In settings characterized by imperfect information about an underlying state of nature, but where inferences are made sequentially and are publicly observable, decisions may yield a cascade in which everyone herds on a single choice. While cascades potentially play a role in a variety of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012727885
Foreign exchange hedging ratios are simultaneously estimated alongside freight and commodity ratios in a time-varying portfolio framework. Foreign exchange futures are found to be by far the most important derivative instrument to be employed in order to reduce uncertainty for traders. Our...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005454100
In many studies the assumption is made that traders only encounter one type of price risk. In reality, however, traders are exposed to multiple price risks, and often have several relevant derivative instruments available with which to hedge price uncertainty. In this study, commodity, foreign...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005468615
Foreign exchange hedging ratios are simultaneously estimated alongside freight and commodity ratios in a time‐varying portfolio framework. Foreign exchange futures are by far the most important derivative instrument used to reduce uncertainty for traders. Our results lend support to the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011198379
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10006824492
This paper presents an effective way of combining two popular, yet distinct approaches used in the hedging literature dynamic programming (DP) and time-series (GARCH) econometrics. Theoretically consistent yet realistic and tractable models are developed for traders interested in hedging a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10004989008
This paper presents an effective way of combining two distinct approaches used in the hedging literature--dynamic programming (DP) and time-series (GARCH) econometrics. Theoretically consistent yet realistic and tractable models are developed for traders interested in hedging a portfolio....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005035173
Crude oil, heating oil, and unleaded gasoline futures contracts are simultaneously analysed for their effectiveness in reducing price volatility for an energy trader. A conceptual model is developed for a trader hedging the 'crack spread'. Various hedge ratio estimation techniques are compared...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005582422