In this paper we propose the GHADA risk management model that is based on the generalized hyperbolic (GH) distribution and on a nonparametric adaptive methodology. Compared to the normal distribution, the GH distribution possesses semi-heavy tails and represents the financial risk factors more...

Measuring and modeling financial volatility is the key to derivative pricing, asset allocation and risk management. The recent availability of high-frequency data allows for refined methods in this field. In particular, more precise measures for the daily or lower frequency volatility can be...

Based on daily VDAX data we analyse the factors governing the movements of implied volatilities of options on the German stock index DAX. We derive common factors representing shift and slope of the term structure of ATM implied volatilities. Further we present a risk management tool for option...

We propose a semiparametric factor model, which approximates the implied volatility surface (IVS) in a finite dimensional function space. Unlike standard principal component approaches typically used to reduce complexity, our approach is tailored to the degenerated design of IVS data. In...

The implied volatility of an option as a function of strike price and time to maturity forms a volatility surface. Traders price according to the dynamics of this high dimensional surface. Recent developments that employ semiparametric models approximate the implied volatility surface (IVS) in a...

High‐dimensional non‐stationary time series, which reveal both complex trends and stochastic behaviour, occur in many scientific fields, e.g. macroeconomics, finance, neuroeconomics, etc. To model these, we propose a generalized dynamic semi‐parametric factor model with a two‐step...

This paper proposes a nonparametric test of Granger causality in quantile. Zheng (1998, <italic>Econometric Theory</italic> 14, 123–138) studied the idea to reduce the problem of testing a quantile restriction to a problem of testing a particular type of mean restriction in independent data. We extend...

In this paper bootstrap confidence bands are constructed for nonparametric quantile estimates of regression functions, where resampling is done from a suitably estimated empirical distribution function (edf) for residuals. It is known that the approximation error for the confidence band by the...

Let (<italic>X</italic>₁, <italic>Y</italic>₁), …, (<italic>X</italic>, <italic>Y</italic>) be independent and identically distributed random variables and let <italic>l</italic>(<italic>x</italic>) be the unknown <italic>p</italic>-quantile regression curve of <italic>Y</italic> conditional on <italic>X</italic>. A quantile smoother <italic>l</italic>(<italic>x</italic>) is a localized, nonlinear estimator of <italic>l</italic>(<italic>x</italic>). The strong uniform consistency rate is established under...