We find that in 1989-1996, when U.S. monetary policy tightly targeted overnight fed funds rates, the volatility and persistence of spreads between target and term fed funds levels were larger for longer-maturity loans. We show that such patterns are consistent with an expectational model where...

We assume that the instantaneous riskless rate reverts towards a central tendency which in turn, is changing stochastically over time. As a result, current short-term rates are not" sufficient to predict future short-term rates movements, as would be the case if the central" tendency was...

We model a two-asset economy populated by `speculators', who are always present in the market, and `noise traders', who infrequently reallocate their portfolios in a discrete fashion. Noise traders' markets orders are filled at prices which support the speculators' equilibrium consumption path,...

This article combines the continuous arrival of information with the infrequency of trades and investigates the effects on asset price dynamics of positive- and negative-feedback trading. Specifically, the authors model an economy where stocks and bonds are traded by two types of agents:...