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The objective of this study is to evaluate and model the risks of corn and soybean production. This study focuses on the risk of revenue variability that arises from changes in prices, yields shortfalls or both. There are several models for price and yield risk factors for corn and soybeans. For...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005523041
The objective of this study is to evaluate and model the spatial dependence of systemic yield risk. Various spatial autoregressive models are explored to account for county level dependence of crop yields. The results show that the time trend parameters of yields are correlated across spaces and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005012614
The objective of this study is to evaluate and model the yield risk associated with major agricultural commodities in the U.S. We are particularly concerned with the nonstationary nature of the yield distribution, which primarily arises because of technological progress and changing...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009024945
The objective of this study is to evaluate the risk associated with major agricultural commodity yields in the United States. We are particularly concerned with the nonstationary nature of the yield distribution, which arises primarily as a result of technological progress and changing...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009132463
The objective of this study is to evaluate and model the yield risk associated with major agricultural commodities in the U.S. We are particularly concerned with the nonstationary nature of the yield distribution, which primarily arises because of technological progress and changing...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009003761
This research develops a mixture regression model that is shown to have advantages over the classical Tobit model in model fit and predictive tests when data are generated from a two step process. Additionally, the model is shown to allow for flexibility in distributional assumptions while...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005483438
This article focuses on the modeling of agricultural yield data using hierarchical Bayesian models. In recovering the generating process of these data, we consider the temporal, spatial and spatio-temporal relationships pertinent to the prediction and pricing of insurance contracts based on...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005039106
This research extends past work by Shonkwiler and Yen (1999) by allowing for distributional flexibility and nonlinear responses in the form of established semiparametric and nonparametric regressions. The proposed models are shown to outperform the parametric version typically used in demand...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009020549
The Wishart distribution has long been a useful tool for modeling covariance structures. According to Gyndikin’s theorem, the degrees of freedom (df) for a Wishart distribution can be any real number belonging to the Gyndikin set, either integer-valued or fractional. However, the fractional-df...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011189315
In this article, we consider imputation in the USDA's Agricultural Resource Management Survey (ARMS) data, which is a complex, high-dimensional economic dataset. We develop a robust joint model for ARMS data, which requires that variables are transformed using a suitable class of marginal...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010824055