"This paper provides a decomposition of the projected change in the overall labour force in East and West Germany into three parts. The first, called the 'demographic component', shows the effects of fertility, mortality and a changing age structure of the population. The second effect is the...

"Forecasts show a substantially decreasing and ageing labour force in Germany. This paper provides a decomposition of the projected change in the overall labour force into three parts. The first, called the 'demographic component', shows the effects of fertility, mortality and a changing age...

"This article provides the most recent population projections of the IAB. The results confirm the well-known overall development: The forecast shows a substantially decreasing and ageing population in Germany up to 2060. This trend is attributable only to fertility, as low birth rates determine...

"Die Arbeit untersucht, wie stabil die Ergebnisse der jüngst vom Institut für Arbeitsmarkt- und Berufsforschung veröffentlichten Berechnungen zur Stillen Reserve für den Zeitraum von 1970 bis 2002 hinsichtlich der zentralen Modellannahme über die Höhe der Vollbeschäftigung sind. Dazu...

"Die Arbeit untersucht, wie stabil die Ergebnisse der jüngst vom Institut für Arbeitsmarkt- und Berufsforschung veröffentlichten Berechnungen zur Stillen Reserve für den Zeitraum von 1970 bis 2002 hinsichtlich der zentralen Modellannahme über die Höhe der Vollbeschäftigung sind. Dazu...

"Using German data this study applies an unobserved-components approach to disentangle the unemployment rate into a (stochastic) trend and a cyclical part and to estimate the influence of these components on labor participation. The persistent trend component of unemployment, which triggers...

"Following the economic collapse in eastern Germany, in addition to the high level of unemployment, a hidden labour force of a considerable size has also developed in the new Länder. The IAB estimates the hidden labour force in the new Länder for 1997 to be more than 800,000 people. This...

"Der Beitrag stellt erste Modellrechnungen zur Entwicklung des Erwerbspersonenpotentials in den neuen Bundesländern für den Zeitraum von 1990 bis 2010 dar. Dies geschieht auf dem Hintergrund einer höchst unsicheren Datenbasis, so daß die Berechnung im wesentlichen auf plausiblen Setzungen...

"The paper examines whether the revision of the employment figures in the national accounts - which occurred basically as a result of a better recording of marginal part-time employment - had an effect on the estimation of the hidden labour force. For this the IAB concept of the hidden labour...