In this paper, we examine the influence of unpredictable aid on a recipient’s economic growth. If aid amounts vary by year and the changes are unpredictable, we expect that this “unpredictability” decreases aid’s growth-enhancing effect. This naturally raises the questions: How large is...

Whereas economic growth and business cycles have received significant attention in the literature, they are typically examined separately. However, recent studies have found a causality in which short-term output volatility affects economic growth (volatility-growth causality). In contrast, in...

This research sheds light on the negative correlation between economic growth and business cycle in less developed economies. Whereas many previous studies explain the negative correlation from a viewpoint in which business cycle affects economic growth, we attempt to present a hypothesis based...