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In this paper we study implied and realized volatility for the Nordic power forward market. We create an implied volatility index with a fixed time to maturity. This index is compared to a realized volatility time series calculated from high-frequency data. The results show that the implied...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011208297
We examine the information content of the CBOE Crude Oil Volatility Index (OVX) when forecasting realized volatility in the WTI futures market. Additionally, we study whether other market variables, such as volume, open interest, daily returns, bid-ask spread and the slope of the futures curve,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011065575
In this study we examine three widely used realized correlation estimators for natural gas, gasoil, and crude oil futures using data from IntercontinentalExchange (ICE). The objective is to illustrate sensitivities of estimation methods on the resulting realized correlation estimates. The...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010939705
This is the first paper to utilize intra-daily high-frequency data and to apply known market measures for the prediction of volatility in the Nord Pool electricity forward market. The work is based on recent methods of separating realized volatility into two components: continuous and jump...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011039661
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009807592
Using recursive estimation and rolling windows over extended sample periods we examine the time-varying relationship between spot and short-term forward prices in the Pennsylvania–New Jersey–Maryland (PJM) wholesale electricity market. We examine theoretical models of forward risk premia in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010868730
We use high frequency real time spot prices and day-ahead forward prices from the Pennsylvania–New Jersey–Maryland wholesale electricity market to calculate, describe, and forecast spot price volatility. We introduce the concept of forward realized volatility calculated from day-ahead...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010588003
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010034746
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In this paper we study Norwegian rights issues with focus on the announcement effects of raising seasoned equity. The abnormal returns at announcement in Norway are around −8% to −10% for rights issues, and this is much higher than what is found in other countries. The average...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011212871