We examine the macroeconomic effects of the energy transition, focusing on the impact of oil prices on GDP, productivity and inflation. We find that energy dependence on fossil fuels increases vulnerability to oil price shocks, negatively affecting Total Factor Productivity (TFP). Using the...

We examine the macroeconomic effects of the energy transition, focusing on the impact of oil prices on GDP, productivity and inflation. We find that energy dependence on fossil fuels increases vulnerability to oil price shocks, negatively affecting Total Factor Productivity (TFP). Using the...

The main objective of this paper is to explore the impact of monetary policy decisions on the lending rates of commercial banks in Morocco. For this purpose, A Vector Auto regressive (VAR) model is estimated in order to measure the impact of policy rate variations on the commercial lending...

This paper provides a broad overview of monetary policy cooperation of Afghanistan and Pakistan central banks through the differences framework of policy analysis. The framework proves useful for interpreting past policy decisions and mistakes of Policy during the 2005 but when closely examined...

In March 2018, President of Russia Vladimir Putin designated the target of increasing per capita GDP of the Russian population 1.5 times by 2024. In order to meet this target, GDP would be required to grow by 6% a year between 2018 and 2024. This is a challenging task as the last time growth...

This paper applies causal machine learning methods to analyze the heterogeneous regional impacts of monetary policy in China. The method uncovers the heterogeneous regional im-pacts of different monetary policy stances on the provincial figures for real GDP growth, CPI inflation and loan growth...

This paper analyses the signaling effect of the European Central Bank’s (ECB) statements related to its asset purchase programme (APP) on market expectations for the future path of short-term interest rates in the euro area. Considering a broad set of event days and daily changes in euro area...

A crucial theme in macroeconomic dynamics concerns the issue of determinacy, that is, the question of uniqueness or multiplicity of admissible dynamic trajectories. Unlike previous studies which economy addressed this question in a closed, we explore the determinacy dynamics in a small open...

In this paper we use the Bayesian Structural VAR framework to identify the major shock monetary policy shocks in Tunisia over the 1997-2015 and to provide information concerning the evolution of the economy response to these shocks. Compared with previous studies of this country, the main...