This paper generalizes the nonparametric approach to option pricing of Stutzer (1996) by demonstrating that the canonical valuation methodology in- troduced therein is one member of the Cressie-Read family of divergence mea- sures. While the limiting distribution of the alternative measures is...

The main objective of this paper is to analyze the behavior of the term structure of the WTI futures market between 2002 and 2009, period known by a sustained price rise followed by a price slump and again by a new price rise. To achieve this goal, we use Principal Component Analysis (PCA) to...

This paper proposes a new approach to estimate general stationary diffusion processes that describe the evolution of unobserved arrival rates of credit events on sovereign bonds, allowing for arbitrary parametric drift and diffusion specifications. The solutions and transition processes for...

Implied volatility (IV) forecasting is inherently challenging due to its high dimensionality across various moneyness and maturity, and nonlinearity in both spatial and temporal aspects. We utilize implied volatility surfaces (IVS) to represent comprehensive spatial dependence and model the...

A nonparametric model that includes non-Gaussian characteristics of skewness and kurtosis is proposed based on the cubic market capital asset pricing model. It is an equilibrium pricing model but risk-neutral valuation can be introduced through return data transformation. The model complies with...

In this study, we estimate a risk-neutral implied probability distribution using American call (put) options on Brent oil futures. For this purpose, we apply three different methodologies: non-parametric approach (kernel density estimation), semi-parametric approach by Shimko (1997), Datta and...

A nonparametric model that includes non-Gaussian characteristics of skewness and kurtosis is proposed based on the cubic market capital asset pricing model. It is an equilibrium pricing model but risk-neutral valuation can be introduced through return data transformation. The model complies with...

The main objective of this paper is to analyze the behavior of the term structure of the WTI futures market between 2002 and 2009, period known by a sustained price rise followed by a price slump and again by a new price rise. To achieve this goal, we use Principal Component Analysis (PCA) to...

This paper investigates the estimation of the Value-at-Risk (VaR) across various probability levels for the log-returns of a comprehensive dataset comprising four thousand crypto-assets. Employing four recently introduced Adaptive Conformal Inference (ACI) algorithms, we aim to provide robust...

I study the identification of time preferences in dynamic discrete choice models. Time preferences play a crucial role in these models, as they affect inference and counterfactual analysis. Previous literature has shown that observed choice probabilities do not identify the exponential discount...