This study compares the effects of economic internationalisation on the functional distribution of labour income in the U.S.and Germany. The benchmark for assessing the empirical analyses theoretically is the general equilibrium framework ofinternational trade theory. Focusing on general...

The record price development in commodity markets during the economic boom period lasting from early 2000 to mid 2008 highlighted a perceived scarcity particularly in metal markets that contrasted the preceding period beginning in the late 1970s of largely abundant availability and falling real...

A methodology is offered which can be used to construct an econometric model in the presence of structural change of an evolutionary type. The theoretical basis for such modelling is drawn from the self-organisation approach and operationalised in the context of the logistic diffusion growth...

Aimed at providing the anticipatory ability for the proactive traffic control systems, a new adaptive online short-term univariate traffic condition forecasting method is presented in this dissertation by assimilating knowledge from previous research. Using 15-minute traffic flow series as a...

The stylized fact of time-varying volatility in financial series is commonly accepted amongst scholars as well as practitioners. The GARCH model has been exceptionally successful in this area. Our approach, the minimally cross-entropic conditional density (MCECD) model, is a generalization of...

Motivated by the problem of setting prediction intervals in time series analysis, we suggest two new methods for conditional distribution estimation. The first method is based on locally fitting a logistic model and is in the spirit of recent work on locally parametric techniques in density...

In this thesis we study three basic issues related to international black tea markets: Are black tea markets integrated? Where is the price of black tea discovered? Are there leaders and followers in black tea markets? We use two statistical techniques as engines of analysis. First, we use time...