Using quarterly data from 2006q3 to 2017q4, this paper employed sign restrictions with rejection method in a Vector Autoregression to estimate the pass-through of exchange rate dynamics to domestic prices in Ghana. The priors of the model belongs to the flat Normal inverted-Wishart family....

This draft is a summary of the paper entitled: Forecasting Fuel Prices with the Chilean Exchange Rate. In that paper we show that the Chilean exchange rate has the ability to predict the returns of oil prices and of three additional oil-related products: gasoline, propane and heating oil. The...

This article analyzes the presence of a price bubble in the new house market for the Greater Santiago. For the above use di®erent methodologies on the Real Housing Prices Index (IRPV) prepared by CEC-CChC, all of which reject the presence of a housing bubble in the concerned market.

In this study, we compare the Hodrick-Prescott Filter technique concerning the Fractional filtering technique, which has recently started to be used in various applied sciences, i.e., physics, engineering, and biology. We apply these filtering techniques to the quarterly GDP data of Turkey,...

Bootstrap procedures based on instrumental variable (IV) estimates or t-statistics are generally invalid when the instruments are weak. The bootstrap may even fail when applied to identification-robust test statistics. For subvector inference based on the Anderson-Rubin (AR) statistic, Wang and...

Calendar anomalies are a class of financial market phenomena which links periodic, time-specific dummy variables and variations in the market price of an asset. Prior studies which report a calendar anomaly are seen by some as refutations of the efficient market hypothesis. In this paper, we...

This paper develops a systematic procedure of statistical inference for the ARMA model with unspecified and heavy-tailed heteroscedastic noises. We first investigate the least absolute deviation estimator (LADE) and the self-weighted LADE for the model. Both estimators are shown to be strongly...

This manuscript provides an introduction to statistics and probability method. It is structured around three themes developed in five chapters. The first part is an introduction to probability calculations in which we introduce the notions of elementary probability, probabilized spaces, random...

In this study, we examine if there is a linkage between the budget deficit (BD) and current account deficit (CAP). Traditional theory asserts that the BD leads to CAD, given that government expenditures are fixed. As disposable income increases due to BD (i.e., due to tax-cuts given that there...

In this paper we consider two kinds of generalizations of Lancaster's (Review of Economic Studies, 2002) Modified ML estimator (MMLE) for the panel AR(1) model with fixed effects and arbitrary initial conditions and possibly covariates when the time dimension, T, is fixed. When the...