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expectation dispersion and economic uncertainty for the stock-market reaction to indicator releases. We find that the strength of …. Uncertainty, in contrast, increases the response. We rationalize our findings in a model of imperfect information. In the model … content of indicators, while higher fundamental uncertainty makes this informational content more valuable. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012404549
expectation dispersion and economic uncertainty for the stock-market reaction to indicator releases. We find that the strength of …. Uncertainty, in contrast, increases the response. We rationalize our findings in a model of imperfect information. In the model … content of indicators, while higher fundamental uncertainty makes this informational content more valuable. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012404647
We investigate the uncertainty dynamics surrounding extreme weather events through the lens of option and stock markets … by identifying market responses to the uncertainty regarding both potential hurricane landfall and subsequent economic … 5-10 percent, reflecting impact uncertainty. Using hurricane forecasts, we show that landfall uncertainty and potential …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012181922
In this paper, we introduce two classes of indices which can be used to measure the market perception concerning the degree of dependency that exists between a set of random variables, representing different stock prices at a fixed future date. The construction of these measures is based on the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010464790
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009724343
This paper investigates the intraday response of CBOT T-bond futures prices to surprises in headline figures contained in scheduled U.S. macroeconomic news releases. While several previous studies try to find out which releases have a significant impact on prices and volatility in financial...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011544325
This paper analyses the informational role of the trading activity when jumps occur in the US Treasury market. As jumps mark the arrival of new information to the market, we explore the contribution of jumps in reducing the informational asymmetry. We identify jumps using a combination of jump...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011452862
It is well known that information arrival has an impact on prices volatility, and trading volume in financial markets (see e.g., Goodhart and O'Hara 1997). Scheduled macroeconomic announcements, such as monthly employment figures, consumer prices, or building permits, stand out from the steady...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011445168
Focusing on the foreign exchange reaction to macroeconomic announcements, we show that fast trading is positively and significantly correlated with the entropy of the distribution of quoted prices in reaction to news: a larger share of fast trading increases the degree of diversity of quotes in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012037341
Alternative strategies for predicting stock market volatility are examined. In out-of-sample forecasting experiments implied-volatility information, derived from contemporaneously observed option prices or history-based volatility predictors, such as GARCH models, are investigated, to determine...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009767118