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Recent theoretical work suggests that signs of asset returns are predictable given that their volatilities are. This is the first paper to investigate whether the demand for information, approximated by the daily internet search volume index (SVI) from Google, can enhance volatility forecasts...
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We examine the forecasting power of the volatility of the slope of the US-Treasury yield curve on US stock-market volatility. Consistent with theoretical asset pricing models, we find that the volatility of the slope of the term structure of interest rates has significant forecasting power on...
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In this paper we examine the pricing of volatility risk using SPX corridor implied volatility. We decompose model-free total implied volatility into various components using different segments of the cross section of out-of-the money put and call option prices. We find that only model-free...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013087088
The role of oil price shocks in economic activity and inflation is controversial but a key input to economic policy. To clarify these relations, we employ a refined measure of oil shocks based on decomposing realized volatility and estimated using intraday oil futures data. In reconciling prior...
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