The heterogeneous market states that the diversity of actors causes different behaviors of volatilities of different time resolutions. A lagged correlation study reveals that statistical volatility defined over a coarse time grid significantly predicts volatility defined over a fine grid. This...

A fractal approach is used to analyze financial time series, applying different degrees of time resolution, and the results are interrelated. Some fractal properties of foreign exchange (FX) data are found. In particular, the mean size of absolute values of price changes follows a...

In this paper we present both a new formulation of the HARCH process and a study of the forecasting accuracy of ARCH-type models for predicting short-term volatility. Using high frequency data, the market volatility is expressed in terms of partial volatilities which are formally exponential...

In this paper we present both a new formulation of the HARCH process and a study of the forecasting accuracy of ARCH-type models for predicting short-term volatility. Using high frequency data, the market volatility is expressed in terms of partial volatilities which are formally exponential...

The foreign exchange (FX) market is worldwide, but the dealers differ in their geographical locations (time zones), working hours, time horizons, home currencies, access to information, transaction costs, and other institutional constraints The variety of time horizons is large: from intra-day...

The real-life experience of our customers shows that we successfully forecast foreign exchange (FX) price movements for short to medium-term time horizons. This is substantiated by a positive forecast quality and high trading model returns. We have to ask ourselves why Oamp;A is able to...

In this paper, we show that intra-daily foreign exchange rate returns exhibit even stronger nonlinearities than daily or weekly returns. These nonlinearities result from the intra-daily seasonality and the presence of market participants with different time-horizons. Moreover, we present some...

We investigate the multivariate intraday structure in interest rates, focusing on implied forward rates from Eurofutures contracts. Since futures markets are the most liquid for interest rate instruments and they yield high-quality intraday data, it is somehow surprising that their intraday...

We derive two risk adjusted performance measures for investors with risk averse preferences. Maximizing these measures is equivalent to maximizing the expected utility of an investor. The first measure, X(eff), is derivedassuming a constant risk aversion while the second measure, R(eff),is based...