Nicht zuletzt nach Ausbruch der Covid-19-Pandemie stand die Stabilität des deutschen Bankensystems als integraler Bestandteil des nationalen Finanzsystems unter besonderer Beobachtung. Entscheidend für die Finanzstabilität ist die Frage, ob die Banken ausreichend gegen Stresseffekte...

The stability of the German banking system, in its capacity as an integral component of the country's financial system, has come under particular scrutiny, not least since the onset of the COVID-19 pandemic. Financial stability hinges on whether banks are sufficiently resilient to stress...

The Taylor rule is a widely used concept in monetary macroeconomics and has been used in various areas either for positive or normative analyses. We examine whether the robustifying nature of Taylor rule cross-checking in the spirit of R island and Sveen (2011) also carries over to the case of...

We examine whether the robustifying nature of Taylor rule cross-checking under model uncertainty carries over to the case of parameter uncertainty. Adjusting monetary policy based on this kind of cross-checking can improve the outcome for the monetary authority. This, however, crucially depends...

The European Central Bank's asset purchase programs, while intended to stabilize the economy, may have unintended side effects on financial stability. This paper aims at gauging the effects on financial markets, the banking sector, and lending to non-financial firms. Using a structural vector...

The current paper broadens the understanding for the role of uncertainty in the context of a macroeconomic environment. It focuses on the implications of uncertainty shocks on indicators that tend to precede financial crises. In an empirical analysis we show for a set of four euro area countries...

The current paper broadens the understanding of the role played by uncertainty in the context of macroeconomic fluctuations. It focuses on the implications of uncertainty shocks for indicators that tend to precede financial crises. In an empirical analysis we show for a set of four euro area...

A structural Bayesian vector autoregression model predicts that - when accompanied by a decline in consumer confidence - a one-percent decrease in house prices is associated with a contraction of economic activity by 0.2 to 1.2 percent after one year. Results point to important second-round...

Daniel Osberghaus, ZEW – Leibniz-Zentrum für Europäische Wirtschaftsforschung, Mannheim, zeigt die Schwächen und die fehlende Nachhaltigkeit des derzeitigen Versicherungsmarktes für Elementarschäden auf. Nötig sei eine Neuordnung des Versicherungsmarktes für Hochwasserschäden. Zu...

In der gerade begonnenen Legislaturperiode steht eine Modernisierung der Altersvorsorge an. Der Koalitionsvertrag sieht eine Kapitaldeckung und eine renditeorientierte Anlage in allen Schichten des deutschen Alterssicherungssystems vor; die Einrichtung staatlich organisierter Fonds soll geprüft...