In this paper we derive a Phillips curve with a role for higher order expectations of marginal cost and future inflation. We introduce a small idiosyncratic component in firms’ marginal costs and let the economywide average marginal cost be unobservable to the individual firm. The model can...

This paper argues that assuming a common information set shared by the public and the central bank may be inappropriate when one is concerned with the value of information itself. Specifically, we argue that it may lead one to draw the conclusion that monetary policy do not benefit from accurate...

The purpose of this discussion paper is to consider consumption insurance and its various channels at the level of the individual and at the level of the economy as a whole in the context of the European Monetary Union.First we introduce a theoretical framework to derive implications of...

This paper investigates the measurement of anticipated interest rate policy and the effects of these expectations on the term structure of nominal interest rates.It is shown that, under the expectations hypothesis, the level of long-term interest rates depends on three factors: the level of the...