Im Zuge der Umsetzung von Basel II ringen deutsche Banken darum, ein möglichst effizientes Rating-System aufzubauen. Erklärtes Ziel ist es, in Zukunft Kreditvergabe und -konditionen vor allem auf der Basis von Rating-Kennziffern zu treffen. Im Folgenden wird anhand von anonymisierten...

The paper reviews models of the physician-patient relationship to derive testable hypotheses about the relation between health, demand for medical services and patient's compliance. The models imply that in addition to existing information asymmetries the actions that physician and patient...

The paper provides evidence on what affects at the margin the cost and availability of bank credit for firms in Argentina. We study in particular how banks use different pieces of private and public information to screen firms and overcome informational asymmetries in the credit market. Some...

Loan defaults continue to be a major challenge that confronts financial institutions in developing countries and this impedes their potential role in sustainable development. Given the enormity of loan defaults, policymakers have devoted much attention to the phenomenon by implementing...

In banking practice, quantifying the probability of default is one of the most important elements of the lending decision, therefore it is also vital from a financial stability perspective. The aim of our research was to model the probability of default as precisely as possible in the case of...

We investigate non-financial variables for predicting bankruptcy in small and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs). The variables encompass management, board and ownership structures and are sourced from universally accessible information, rendering them available to all stakeholders and allowing for...

Im Mittelpunkt dieses Beitrag stehen Verweildauermodelle und deren Verwendung als Analyseinstrumente für die Bewertung und Berechnung von Kreditausfallrisiken. Verschiedene Möglichkeiten zur Berechnung der Dauer des Nichtausfalls eines Kredites werden dabei vorgestellt. Die hier vorgestellten...

Eine große Herausforderung der multivariablen Analyse mit bilanziellen Kennzahlen besteht in der Identifikation derjenigen Kennzahlen, die zur besten Modellperformance führen und dabei möglichst leicht interpretierbar und intuitiv bleiben. Die Menge der in Frage kommenden Kennzahlen ist in...

Credit ratings are commonly used by lenders to assess the default risk, because every credit is connected with a possible loss. If the probability of a default is above a certain threshold, a credit will not be provided. The purpose of this paper is to test whether credit ratings contribute...