This paper examines real and financial spillovers to safe haven financial flow destinations due to risk-off shocks in global financial markets. Using country-specific structural vector autoregression (VAR) models over the period 1990 to 2021, we show that dynamics for Japan appear to be...

This paper empirically examines the reaction of global financial markets across 38 economies to the COVID-19 outbreak, with a special focus on the dynamics of capital flow across 14 emerging market economies. Using daily data over the period 4 January 2010 to 30 April 2020 and controlling for a...

Many developing countries, like Indonesia, struggle with tax evasion. It reduces government revenues, impeding government activities and a country's economic development. In this study, we look at the topic of tax evasion in Indonesia from 1980 to 2019. Using the "modified-cash-deposit-ratio"...

In this paper, we study the implications of climate change on fiscal sustainability and inequality. First, using rich panel data, we show that rising climate-related disaster risks increase government debt and harm fiscal sustainability. We also find that the adverse effect of disaster risks is...

We analyze the relationship between climate risk and fiscal space in a systematic and rigorous way. To do so, we use panel local projections to examine the role of political stability and financial development in the relationship. For a sample of 199 economies in 1990-2022, we first empirically...

This paper empirically investigates how the level of peer-to-peer (P2P) lending affects monetary policy transmission in the People's Republic of China (PRC). Using statedependent local projection methods, we find that the macroeconomic effects of unanticipated changes in monetary policy are...

Focusing on Asian economies over the period 2006 to 2019, we find that while nonbank finance appears to complement rather than substitute credit provision by the traditional banking sector, weaker regulatory quality is an important driving factor. Moreover, while we find that central bank policy...

This paper examines the effect of institutions on macrofinancial resilience in Asia. Focusing on a panel of 12 Asian economies from 1996Q1 to 2020Q4, we find that institutions for economies with high levels of institutional quality support the resilience of real GDP per capita and net FDI...

This paper empirically examines the effect of corporate market power on monetary policy transmission in Asia. Using panel local projections based on a firm-level dataset for 11 advanced and emerging Asian economies, we find that after a monetary policy tightening, the real sales of firms with...