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Econometric issues in the estimation of persistence in macroeconomic time series are considered. In particular, the relative merits of estimates based on ARMA models, ARFIMA models and nonparametric procedures are investigated. It is shown that ARFIMA models are inappropriate for the purpose of...
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The dynamic structure of profit rates for 156 US manufacturing companies is analyzed by means of fractional integration techniques as an alternative to the commolny used ARMIA models with respect to the "persistence of profits". The results show - despite the short lengths of the series - that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005585563
We analyze by simulation the properties of two time domain and two frequency domain estimators for low order autoregressive fractionally integrated moving average Gaussian models, ARFIMA (p,d,q). The estimators considered are the exact maximum likelihood for demeaned data, EML, the associated...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005119109
The dynamic structure of profit rates for 156 US manufacturing companies is analysed by means of fractional integration techniques as an alternative to the commonly used ARIMA models with respect to the 'persistence of profits'. Thereby the pseudo-spectral density aproach of Velasco and Robinson...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005506092
This paper attempts to assemble evidence for the relationship between the product and the financial market. Drawing back on work in industrial organization, we analyze the relationship between profit persistence and expected stock returns. We show that long-run profit persistence together with...
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Agricultural policies in Kenya aim to improve farmers’ livelihoods. With projected climate change, these policies are short of mechanisms that promote farmers’ adaptation. As a result, smallholders are confronted with a variety of challenges including climate change, which hinders their...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010675926