In this note, we establish an equivalence between chi-square and generalized skew-normal distributions. This result is based on a distributional invariance property of even functions in generalized skew-normal random vectors. It extends the chi-square properties related to univariate and...

This paper tests the Expectations Hypothesis (EH) of the term structure of interest rates using new data for Germany. The German term structure appears to forecast future short-term interest rates surprisingly well, compared with previous studies with US data, while it has lower predictive power...

The aim of this paper is to compare the forecasting performance of SETAR and GARCHmodels against a linear benchmark using historical data for two bilateral dollarexchange rates, namely the Japanese Yen and the British Pound. The analysis is carried out with series sampled at weekly and daily...

This article provides a practical evaluation of some leading density forecast scoring rules in the context of forecast surveys. We analyse the density forecasts of UK inflation obtained from the Bank of England’s Survey of External Forecasters, considering both the survey average forecasts...

The aim of this paper is to analyse the out-of-sample performance of SETAR models using daily data for the Euro effective exchange rate. The evaluation is conducted on point, interval and density forecasts. The benchmark used for the comparison is a linear AR model for point forecast evaluation...

A conceptual framework which identifies the main determinants of the macroeconomic costs of abating greenhouse gases is developed. This is used to survey long-term quantitative studies of abatement, especially their modelling approaches and choices of key parameters. These studies suggest that...