This paper develops a new approach to testing for the existence of a linear long-run relationship, when the orders of integration of the underlying regressors are not known with certainty. The test is the standard Wald or F - statistic for testing the significance of the lagged levels of the...

This paper This paper develops a new approach to the problem of testing the existence of a long-run level relationship between a dependent variable and a set of regressors, when it is not known with certainty whether the underlying regressors are trend- or first-difference stationary. The...

This paper argues that probability forecasts convey information on the uncertainties that surround macroeconomic forecasts in a manner which is straightforward and which is preferable to other alternatives, including the use of confidence intervals. Probability forecasts relating to UK output...

This paper reports the performance evaluations undertaken on a real-time optimisation system for furrow irrigation (AutoFurrow). Trials for the system were undertaken on commercial furrow-irrigated cotton properties near St George and Dalby, Queensland Australia. The system performed robustly in...

The contribution of this paper is three-fold. Firslty, a characterisation of the sub-hypotheses comprising the seasonal unit root hypothesis is presented which provides a precise formulation of the alternative hypotheses against which regression-based seasonal unit root tests test. Secondly, it...

This paper considers the problem of testing for a nonstochastic seasonal unit root in a seasonally observed time-series process against the alternative of a randomized seasonel root with mean unity; that is, the process displays heteroscedastic seasonal integration.