The paper presents the creation of a new composite coincident monthly indicator for Bulgaria. The Bry-Boschan method is used to determine the turning points for the Bulgarian business cycle for the 2000-2011 period. A new composite leading indicator is also created and tested. The paper finds...

The main purpose of this study is to analyze the influence of country-level governance on business environment and entrepreneurship for an international large sample of countries for a period of six years (2007-2012). The dimensions of country-level governance at macroeconomic level will be...

The main aim of the undertaking is to define and implement a methodology for forecasting the business cycle and particularly the leading composite indicator. This methodology consolidates some elements recognized in the literature with some new elements of estimating and ranging of forecasts. It...